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Legault’s party would have won vote: poll – Montreal

Posted by on 12/08/2018

MONTREAL – Many Quebecers are still in the mood for change and that
seems to be the main reason François Legault’s newlylaunched Coalition
Avenir Québec would have cleaned up if an election had been held last
week, according to a Léger Marketing online poll commissioned by The
Gazette.

Legault finally launched his new party last Monday after a
six-week tour of the province. In a poll taken between Nov. 14 and 17,
28 per cent of the 1,002 respondents said if elections were held that

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day, they would support Legault’s brand new party. Only 18 per cent said
they would support Jean Charest’s Liberals, and 17 per cent said they
would vote for Pauline Marois’s Parti Québécois.

Once undecided
voters were distributed according to whom they would most likely
support, the poll put the CAQ at 35 per cent, the Liberals at 22 per
cent and the PQ at 21 per cent.

Of those who said they would vote
for Legault’s CAQ, 32 per cent said it was because of a “desire for
change,” 19 per cent because of “disillusionment towards other political
parties,” 17 per cent for “the novelty,” nine per cent because of “the
ideas of the CAQ” and six per cent because of the “strengths of François
Legault.”

Among decided voters who identify themselves as
francophones, Legault’s CAQ was even more popular at 40 per cent,
compared to 14 per cent for the Liberals and 24 for the PQ. For other
languages, the CAQ gets only 12 per cent support, while the Liberals
remain strong at 57 per cent.

Legault’s new party is supported
fairly uniformly across the province – 34 per cent in the greater
Montreal region, 29 per cent in Quebec City and 36 per cent in the rest
of the province. The only party with notably uneven support when broken
down regionally is Action démocratique, which polls at eight per cent
across the province, six per cent in the Montreal region, 17 per cent in
Quebec City and nine per cent in the rest of Quebec.

Premier Jean
Charest’s satisfaction rating is 21 per cent, compared to his 2011 high
of 26 per cent in May and his low of 19 per cent in January and
February. Meanwhile, 74 per cent said they were dissatisfied with
Charest’s government.

Legault would make the best premier
according to 28 per cent of those polled, with Charest second at 16 per
cent. Legault’s party also topped the scores when it came to three of
four trust issues, losing only to the PQ as the party most Quebecers
would trust to defend their interests.

A sample of this size yields a margin of error of 3.1 per cent, 19 times out of 20.

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